|
As it was told in the previous heads, the mutation cycle names connections of Jupiter and Saturn. It describes complexity of the offer and demand and long-term economic style.
Jupiter and Saturn represent the basic market psychology, and also varying prices and market turns. It not simply purchase and sale. Everyone can move the market upwards for the various reasons. When Saturn and Jupiter in intense aspects to each other, growth is slowed down or stops. Absence of growth or surplus can conduct the prices upwards because of shortage. Growth can reduce the prices because of surplus. Growth of monetary weight in circulation raises the prices because of surplus of money. Reduction of monetary weight in circulation conducts the prices downwards because of shortage of money. To know, which operates, it is necessary to know market realities, a phase of a cycle of a mutation and position of planets in signs.
During the 60-year-old period there are 3 connections of Saturn with Jupiter, on one in each fashion, three 20-year-old segments. Movement occurs not from the big disaster to the big disaster, and from hardly won experience to market wisdom. The 20-year-old period of each fashion is subdivided into an increasing cycle from 10 years and a decreasing or regulating cycle from 10 years. The 60-year-old period also shares on an increasing piece from 30 years which the falling down or stabilising piece from 30 years follows. The basic updating arises when the 30-year-old rotary point coincides with a 10-year-old rotary point. It occurs each 60 years, approximately in 1870,1930 and 1990 This pattern remains true, whatever was the mutation element. An order of fashions which represents market psychology and trading practice, return: cardinal, mutabelnaja, then fixed.
The Cardinal phase of a mutation
During the cardinal period the market dominates. The economy remains in the established limits. Though it everywhere succeeds and fluctuates (in norm falling on half and doubling), anything effective does not occur, as the population does not understand completely new conditions, especially in first ten years. When the cardinal phase began a cycle of the Big mutation as it occurred in 1842, the economy was in full chaos. The cardinal phase is time of experience, training in a work place as money really works.
Mutabelnaja a mutation phase
After opposition of Jupiter and Saturn which begins next 10 years, money spends work audit. It leads us to that it is possible to name the preliminary knowledge entering us in mutabelnuju, the experimental phase, the second 20-year-old period. To manipulations which worked in the end of a cardinal phase a little, now it is given ample scope, apparently with remarkable results. The market promptly rises. Activity rages throughout the first 10 years of this period. The prices quickly grow. (1920-1930)
The Average point of this piece is a 30-year-old point of disaster of the 60-year-old period as it was marked by Kondratyev. 30-year-old construction in a 60-year-old cycle is finished. Its recession or the stabilising period now should begin. The highest point mutabelnogo the period has been reached. Now it is necessary the correcting or stabilising period. Second half mutabelnogo the period is inclined to be wreck and to burn; with 1930 for 1940 the population has got real education.
The Fixed phase of a mutation
During the fixed 20-year-old period the market tries to rise again on feet and to create a strong basis (1940-1960). The riches collect. Everyone knows, that to avoid.
Disciplined by extreme measures of the previous phase the market does the greatest incomes. When the cardinal phase comes back (1960-1980), stability starts to look as stagnation. All are disappointed that profits of the fixed period do not repeat. And all begins anew.
Observers of a wave expected that the market will make the big updating in 1950. Actually it was only soft decrease. In the fixed sign the big shifts on purely economic soil are least probable. Destruction in Europe and Japan was at this time result of war, instead of economy.
|
